Recent Articles

China's Debt Burden: Trending Down

August 21, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Category: Chart of the Week

Year-to-date, the MSCI China Index (+36.1%) has outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) Index (+25.7%), backed by the recent positive Chinese economic data suggesting that the growth momentum in China could be sustained over the coming months. But some investors continue to argue that China's debt burden will drive its economy in to a crisis....
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After a Four Decade Bull Market in Bonds?

August 15, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Category: Chart of the Week

From 1981 through 2016, U.S. 10 year bonds had an average annual return of 8.4%, with double digit returns in 13 of those years, and returns of over 20% in four of those years....
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Investor Outlook on Emerging Markets Overwhelmingly Positive

August 07, 2017 | Author: Marc Zeitoun | Categories: Chart of the Week, Emerging Markets

Investor Outlook on Emerging Markets Overwhelmingly Positive
Investors have boosted their sentiment towards emerging markets (EM) since this time last year, according to the Columbia Threadneedle Investments Emerging Market Investor Sentiment Survey. In Q2 2017, the Investor Sentiment Score was up 35% from Q4 2016 and 72% from Q4 2015....
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EM Earnings: Three Years of Double Digit Growth Forecasted

July 31, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Categories: Chart of the Week, Emerging Markets

EM Earnings: Three Years of Double Digit Growth Forecasted
After two years of double-digit earnings declines (2014-2015), emerging market (EM) earnings rose 18% in 2016. Bloomberg consensus estimates are that EM continue double-digit earnings growth with gains of 28% and 12% projected for 2017 and 2018, respectively. This would mark the first three years of back-to-back annual double-digit earnings growth since 2007....
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Inflation and the New Rate Regime

July 24, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Categories: Chart of the Week, Equity Income and Dividends

Inflation and the New Rate Regime
The 2008 financial crisis brought comprehensive and generally coordinated stimulative policies by central banks around the globe, as the focus for most of the developed world was to reignite growth, rather than having to manage inflation. The U.S. Federal Reserve has already tightened four times and there is a consensus that by year-end the European Central Bank (ECB) starts easing back on the stimulus it has been injecting into the euro-zone economy for more than two years....
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