Recent Articles

The New Rate Regime: Volatility

September 12, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner | Categories: Chart of the Week, Emerging Markets

The New Rate Regime: Volatility
After having the wind at their backs for decades, fixed-income investors are facing potential headwinds. The risk today is with bond yields still low, small rate changes result in large volatility, and a modest uptick in yields would produce negative returns....
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EM's ANTS Contribute Big YTD

September 06, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner | Categories: Chart of the Week, Emerging Markets

EM
'ANTS & FANG'. While the so-called FANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google) have alone have contributed 24% of the S&P 500 gain this year, EM's 'ANTS' (Alibaba, Naspers, Tencent and Samsung) have contributed 36% of the MSCI EM gain....
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EM Consumer Titans Consensus Earnings Estimates Rising Sharply

August 28, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Categories: Chart of the Week, Emerging Markets

EM Consumer Titans Consensus Earnings Estimates Rising Sharply
While 2017 consensus earnings growth have been rising across the board, the forecasted earnings growth for the Dow Jones Consumer Titans 30 Index has almost tripled since year end 2016....
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China's Debt Burden: Trending Down

August 21, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Category: Chart of the Week

China
Year-to-date, the MSCI China Index (+36.1%) has outperformed the MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) Index (+25.7%), backed by the recent positive Chinese economic data suggesting that the growth momentum in China could be sustained over the coming months. But some investors continue to argue that China's debt burden will drive its economy in to a crisis....
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After a Four Decade Bull Market in Bonds?

August 15, 2017 | Author: Edward Kerschner, CFA | Category: Chart of the Week

After a Four Decade Bull Market in Bonds?
From 1981 through 2016, U.S. 10 year bonds had an average annual return of 8.4%, with double digit returns in 13 of those years, and returns of over 20% in four of those years....
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